Meteorology

Organizations

NOAA RSS Feed

  • SPC - No watches are valid as of Wed Apr 9 00:09:01 UTC 2025This link opens in a new windowApr 8, 2025
    No watches are valid as of Wed Apr 9 00:09:01 UTC 2025.
  • SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Wed Apr 9 00:09:01 UTC 2025This link opens in a new windowApr 8, 2025
    No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Apr 9 00:09:01 UTC 2025.
  • SPC Apr 8, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookThis link opens in a new windowApr 8, 2025
    SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
    Day 1 Outlook Image
    Day 1 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0246 PM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025
    
    Valid 082000Z - 091200Z
    
    ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    While organized severe storms are unlikely, isolated strong storms
    may occur over far southern Florida and the Keys through early
    evening, and perhaps also across southeast Montana to the Black
    Hills.
    
    ...20z Update...
    No changes in forecast reasoning since the prior Outlook. The cold
    front will continue to spread south-southeastward across southern
    Florida, with thunderstorms increasingly relegated to the far
    southeast part of the Peninsula, Keys, and Florida Straits.
    
    ..Guyer.. 04/08/2025
    
    .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1122 AM CDT Tue Apr 08 2025/
    
    ...South Florida/Keys...
    A cold front will continue to progress southeastward and move
    offshore by evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    continuing this afternoon ahead of it. While a couple of stronger
    storms could occur this afternoon through early evening, poor
    mid-level lapse rates and weak deep-layer shear should mitigate
    overall storm strength. A positively tilted shortwave trough will
    approach the region later tonight. But with the front having
    progressed offshore, thunderstorm potential (including any severe
    risk) over land should remain very low.
    
    ...North-central High Plains..
    A shortwave trough is forecast to move from the northern Rockies
    into the southern Canadian Prairies, while moderate mid-level flow
    expands eastward from the Pacific Northwest into the northern High
    Plains. Widely scattered high-based convection is possible during
    the afternoon and evening from southeast Montana/northern Wyoming to
    the Black Hills as modest large-scale ascent influences areas that
    have destabilized amid boundary-layer heating. Weak buoyancy should
    temper overall updraft strength, but a few instances of
    stronger/gusty thunderstorm winds may occur.
    
    
    Read more

AMS Bulletin RSS Feed

U.S. Naval Research Laboratory RSS Feed